India needs Burma for connectivity to the North-East, which is denied by Bangladesh; as a bridge to the East; and, for oil and gas as an alternative to Iran. A strong and effective military-to-military relationship has been developed over the years. Yet, India has to ensure that it is not on the wrong side of history. Burma is the only ASEAN country with land borders with four insurgency-ridden States. With its western flank resting on the epicentre of terrorism in Pakistan, India can ill-afford an unstable eastern frontier. The Generals run the most durable military regime anywhere and cannot be wished away as long as China and Russia have their veto.
The volatility spreads, enveloping another region.
Just what India doesn't need.
Just what the entire continent doesn't need.
China continues to prop up North Korea; I suppose there's a chance it will hem and haw and we'll see the same thing with Burma.
Everyone could be debating this one a year from now. Maybe longer.
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